| |
W7EES > SWPC 17.07.19 03:13z 49 Lines 1968 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 10186_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<EA2RCF<ZL2BAU<N9PMO<WH6FQE<KC9VYU<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190716/2358Z 10186@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 197 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jul 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 453 km/s at 16/0207Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
15/2154Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
16/1001Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2841 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (17 Jul, 18 Jul, 19
Jul).
III. Event probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jul 067
Predicted 17 Jul-19 Jul 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 16 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jul 008/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jul 004/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul 006/006-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/15/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
