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W7EES > SWPC 10.07.20 23:46z 48 Lines 1904 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 19379_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IQ5KG<IK1NHL<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200710/2338Z 19379@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to
10/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul, 13 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 10/1730Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 224 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (11 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (12 Jul, 13 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Jul 069
Predicted 11 Jul-13 Jul 069/069/068
90 Day Mean 10 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul 006/005-010/010-009/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/20/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/30/25
Major-severe storm 10/30/25
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