| |
W7EES > SWPC 16.09.19 00:34z 59 Lines 2329 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11285_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<VE2PKT<F4BWT<GB7YEW<AB0AF<KF5JRV<
W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190916/0007Z 11285@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Mon Sep 16 02:23:38 2019
Received: from i0ojj.ampr.org by i0ojj.ampr.org (JNOS2.0k.3b2) with SMTP
id AA26893 ; Mon, 16 Sep 2019 02:23:38 +0200
Message-Id: <11285_W7EES@ve2pkt.bbs>
>From: w7ees@w7ees.or.usa.noam
X-JNOS-User-Port: Telnet (ve2pkt @ 144.172.216.109) -> Sending message
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 258 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Sep 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Sep, 17 Sep, 18 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 491 km/s at 15/0911Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 15/1141Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
15/0632Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 5476 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (16 Sep,
17 Sep, 18 Sep).
III. Event probabilities 16 Sep-18 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Sep 068
Predicted 16 Sep-18 Sep 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 15 Sep 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Sep 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Sep 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Sep-18 Sep 006/006-007/008-009/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Sep-18 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 10/20/25
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal
information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is
not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
