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LU9DCE > ALERT 26.09.20 16:12z 73 Lines 3744 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 26240_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 26 09
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<GB7COW<GB7CIP<N3HYM<LU3DVN<LU9DCE
Sent: 200926/1600Z 26240@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.20
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/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
LINUX - HELLOCODELINUX@GMAIL.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157
AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020
Valid 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible along a cold front as it
moves across the southern Plains and Mississippi and Ohio Valleys.
...Synopsis... Upper pattern will continue to amplify on Monday as
troughing across the central and eastern CONUS deepens further while
gradually moving eastward and western CONUS ridging also expands
eastward. Strong mid-level flow is forecast to exist throughout
the base of this trough, arcing from the High Plains southward into
the southern Plains and then back northeastward through the Upper
Great Lakes.
Cold front along the leading edge of the continental air
mass associated with the upper trough will likely extend from
southwestern Ontario southwestward into the TX Hill Country early
Monday morning. Continued eastward/southeastward progression of this
front is forecast throughout the day, with the front expected to
extend from a low over the Lower Great Lakes region southwestward
into the northwestern Gulf of Mexico by Monday evening.
...Mid/Upper OH Valley... Modest low-level moisture and deep
southwesterly flow may contribute to a few more robust updrafts
near the cold front as it gradually pushes eastward across the
region. However, low forecast confidence regarding the frontal
position, as well as the potential for preceding cloud cover to
limit the extent of destabilization ahead of the front, result in too
much uncertainty to introduce any probabilities with this outlook.
..Mosier.. 09/26/2020
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020
Valid 291200Z - 041200Z
...DISCUSSION... Most recent medium-range model guidance is in
relatively good agreement that a dry continental air mass will
cover much of the CONUS early D4/Tuesday. A cold front will extent
along the eastern edge of this air mass, likely stretching from
a low from western Quebec southwestward along the Appalachians
into the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms
are likely ahead of this front as it moves gradually eastward
throughout the day D4/Tuesday. Deep southwesterly flow will result
in moderate vertical shear, resulting in the potential for a few
more robust/organized updrafts. However, limited destabilization
is currently expected to keep the overall severe coverage low,
precluding the need to outlook any areas.
00Z guidance has come into better agreement regarding the potential
development of an upper low over the Southeast on D5/Wednesday. The
eastward progression of this low (and evolution of an attendant
surface low) could contribute to severe potential across the
Carolinas. However, more consistency within the guidance is still
needed for greater overall forecast confidence.
From D6/Thursday through D8/Saturday, dry and stable conditions
are currently forecast for the majority of the CONUS.
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Para poder seguir tengo que empezar todo de nuevo.
-- Leon Gieco. (1951- ) Cantautor argentino.
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