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LU9DCE > ALERT    25.09.20 16:02z 58 Lines 2957 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 26193_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25 09
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<GB7COW<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 200925/1601Z 26193@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.20

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ 
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               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
                   BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
                       LINUX - HELLOCODELINUX@GMAIL.COM
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 Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2020
Valid 281200Z - 031200Z
...DISCUSSION...  Medium-range guidance is in relatively
good agreement that upper troughing will extend from Ontario
southwestward into the central Rockies early D4/Monday. Thereafter,
model solutions quickly diverge, showing both run-to-run variability
as well as model-to-model inconsistencies. Strong mid-level flow
will accompany this system, so the development of a few severe
thunderstorms appears possible once the upper trough interacts with
the more moist airmass across the eastern CONUS. However, this
potential may be mitigated by cloud cover and resulting limiting
heating and destabilization. Overall, predictability remains too
low for much forecast confidence at this range, but portions of
the eastern CONUS may eventually merit severe probabilities later
in the forecast cycle.
 SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0154 AM CDT Fri Sep 25 2020
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...Synopsis...  Numerous areas of elevated fire weather conditions
are expected on Saturday due to a combination of lee cyclogenesis
and deep mixing as a strong mid-level jet shifts southward
and overspreads the central Rockies. As the mid-level trough
amplifies and shifts eastward, a lee cyclone is expected to
form in South Dakota and rapidly deepen to around 996 mb as it
moves into Minnesota. This will lead to a strengthening pressure
gradient which will bring windy conditions to much of the northern
Rockies, central Rockies and most of the Plains. In addition,
a deeply mixed boundary layer across the eastern Great Basin,
Snake River Plain, and portions of the Southwest will lead to some
gusty winds. While most of the area discussed will likely see 20+
mph winds, the relative humidity will vary significantly due to
pockets of greater low-level moisture, localized downslope flow,
and deeper mixing leading to drier surface conditions. Therefore,
the 5 separate elevated areas attempt to highlight the areas with
the best chance for dry and windy conditions to overlap.
..Bentley.. 09/25/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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El secreto de la sabiduria, del poder y del conocimiento es la humildad.
		-- Ernest Hemingway.




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