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LW3DBH > ALERT 23.03.20 02:10z 53 Lines 2211 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 59027_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 22 03
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<EA2RCF<LU9DCE<LW3DBH
Sent: 200323/0208Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:59027 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:59027_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : ALERT@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756
PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2020
Valid 230100Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS
OF COASTAL CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA...
...SUMMARY... Isolated strong storms remain possible over parts
of coastal central/southern California this evening. Gusty winds
are the primary threat.
...CA...
00z soundings from OAK/VBG exhibit surface-based buoyancy where
temperatures have risen into the lower 60s. While significant
clouds/precip have cooled some areas into the 50s, a pocket of
yet-to-be overturned instability extends ahead of the upper low
into coastal southern CA. Latest radar data suggests a few robust
storms may move inland across Santa Barbara County over the next
hour or so. For these reasons will maintain 5% severe probabilities
for primarily wind.
...Central Plains...
Lone, long-lived supercell is progressing southeast across western
KS and has produced hail at times. 00z sounding from DDC suggests
this storm will weaken quickly with loss of daytime heating as
boundary-layer cooling should result in decoupling of limited
moisture source.
...Southeast...
Scattered weak showers currently extend along/north of an arcing
frontal zone from southeast TX-northern LA-northern MS-middle TN.
600 J/kg if
lifting a parcel from near 900mb. Weak warm advection along southern
fringe of progressive short-wave trough should aid deeper convection
later tonight. This activity should remain primarily sub-severe.
..Darrow.. 03/23/2020
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You have not converted a man because you have silenced him.
-- John Viscount Morley
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