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W7EES > SWPC 09.07.20 23:49z 50 Lines 2005 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 19340_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IK1NHL<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200709/2336Z 19340@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul, 12 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 351 km/s at 09/0243Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
09/1554Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
09/0855Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 227 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (10 Jul, 11 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (12 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Jul 069
Predicted 10 Jul-12 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 09 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul 006/005-006/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/20
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/30
Major-severe storm 10/10/30
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