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W7EES > SWPC 07.04.20 09:47z 47 Lines 1866 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 15916_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0PBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200406/2232Z 15916@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 97 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Apr, 08 Apr, 09 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 395 km/s at 05/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 404 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (07 Apr, 08 Apr, 09
Apr).
III. Event probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Apr 070
Predicted 07 Apr-09 Apr 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 06 Apr 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Apr 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Apr 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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