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W7EES > SWPC 20.09.19 12:55z 57 Lines 2237 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 11360_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR1UAW<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<VE2PKT<N3HYM<KF5JRV<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 190920/0024Z 11360@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.18
>From w7ees%w7ees.or.usa.noam@i0ojj.ampr.org Fri Sep 20 14:50:31 2019
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Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 262 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Sep 2019
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Sep, 21 Sep, 22 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 404 km/s at 18/2218Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 778 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (20 Sep, 21 Sep) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (22 Sep).
III. Event probabilities 20 Sep-22 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Sep 067
Predicted 20 Sep-22 Sep 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 19 Sep 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Sep 008/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Sep 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep 004/005-004/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Sep-22 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/20/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/20
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