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LU9DCE > ALERT 21.05.19 10:00z 489 Lines 25342 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Storm Prediction Center 21 05
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
28.125 USB @ 300 BAUD --- HELLOCODELINUX@GMAIL.COM
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WW 204 TORNADO AR MO OK 210520Z - 211300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Arkansas Southern Missouri
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 1220 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered
damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events
to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Periodic severe thunderstorms capable of mostly
damaging winds and some tornado risk will continue to favor a
southwest/northeast-oriented boundary through the overnight hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute
miles north and south of a line from 10 miles north northeast of
West Plains MO to 20 miles north northwest of Mcalester OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable
for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the
watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and
possible warnings.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 200...WW 201...WW 202...WW
203...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface
and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts
to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm
motion vector 24030.
...Guyer
WW 203 TORNADO OK TX 210305Z - 211000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1005 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Southern and East-Central Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1005 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense
tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches
in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A mixed mode of storms including a few supercells and
bowing segments will continue to move east-northeastward across the
region into the overnight. A few tornadoes remain a possibility,
with damaging winds and isolated large hail a possibility.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles east southeast of Chandler OK
to 50 miles south southwest of Altus OK. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable
for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the
watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and
possible warnings.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 200...WW 201...WW 202...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 22030.
...Guyer
WW 202 TORNADO TX 210250Z - 210900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 950 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of West and Southwest Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 950 PM until
400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered
large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in
diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated supercells will persist this evening across
the Low Rolling Plains, while additional storms will continue to
increase farther to the southwest across southwest Texas. A tornado
or two remain possible, with large hail and locally damaging winds
also likely.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles northeast of Abilene TX to
25 miles west southwest of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable
for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the
watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and
possible warnings.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 199...WW 200...WW 201...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface
and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts
to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm
motion vector 24030.
...Guyer
WW 201 SEVERE TSTM MO 210115Z - 210900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Number 201 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 815 PM CDT Mon
May 20 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central Missouri
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 815 PM until
400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated
significant gusts to 75 mph possible Isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initially elevated storms capable of severe
hail/possibly wind will cross the region through mid-evening,
while an additional round of storms across southwest Missouri will
accelerate northeastward toward south-central Missouri through late
evening/overnight with damaging winds as the primary risk.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and
50 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of
Fort Leonard Wood MO to 45 miles northeast of West Plains MO. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 199...WW 200...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
WW 0204 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 204
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-087-089-101-131-143-210740-
AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN FULTON MADISON
MARION NEWTON SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
MOC009-043-067-091-119-153-209-213-215-229-210740-
MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DOUGLAS HOWELL
MCDONALD OZARK STONE TANEY
TEXAS WRIGHT
OKC001-021-041-061-077-079-091-101-121-135-145-210740-
OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WW 0203 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N ABI TO
35 S LTS TO 20 NW FSI TO 25 N OKC.
..LEITMAN..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-029-031-033-037-049-051-063-067-069-081-085-087-095-
099-107-111-123-125-133-137-141-143-210740-
OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE
COTTON CREEK GARVIN GRADY
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN TULSA
TXC009-023-077-485-487-210740-
TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY WICHITA
WILBARGER
WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E FST TO 55 W
SJT TO 35 SE BGS TO 55 W ABI TO 35 NW ABI TO 35 NNW ABI TO 55 SE CDS.
..LEITMAN..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-105-207-235-253-353-399-413-417-431-435-441-
447-451-210740-
TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CROCKETT HASKELL IRION JONES
NOLAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER
TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON
COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SGF TO
30 NNE UNO TO 45 WSW FAM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0718.
..LEITMAN..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC149-203-210740-
MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OREGON SHANNON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER
TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON
COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BVX TO
40 NW RUE TO 20 SE RKR TO 30 SW RKR TO 20 SSW MLC TO 40 NNW MLC TO
5 NNE TUL TO 20 NW GMJ TO 25 ENE JLN TO 35 NNW SGF TO 45 S SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0714
..COOK..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...ICT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-087-089-101-129-131-143-210440-
AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN MADISON MARION
NEWTON SEARCY SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
MOC009-043-059-067-077-109-119-145-153-167-209-213-225-210440-
MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE LAWRENCE MCDONALD NEWTON
OZARK POLK STONE TANEY WEBSTER
WW 0199 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 199
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CDS TO
15 E CSM TO 35 NW OKC TO 35 ESE PNC TO BVO TO 25 NNE BVO.
..COOK..05/21/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 199
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-049-051-055-057-063-
065-067-069-073-075-081-083-085-087-095-099-103-107-109-111-113-
117-119-123-125-133-137-141-143-149-210340-
OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE
COTTON CREEK GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN TULSA WASHITA
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-210340-
MD 0718 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST
MO AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST IL
Mesoscale Discussion 0718 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019
Areas affected...southeast MO and adjacent southwest IL
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 210555Z - 210730Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Convection moving into parts of east-central MO toward
the greater St. Louis metro area is expected to remain sub-severe,
through some gusty winds are possible. Further south, a watch may
become necessary across southeast MO and vicinity, but this remains
uncertain at this time and trends will continue to be monitored.
DISCUSSION...A bowing segment across south-central MO will continue
to track east/northeast across southeast MO and southwest IL,
on the cool side of a warm front draped southeastward from near
Texas County MO toward the MO Bootheel/northeast AR and western TN.
Regional surface observations from KVIH and others indicate wind
gusts in the 30-40 kt range in the cooler air north of the boundary.
While the warm front continues to slowly lift northward, expect
that the current line exiting WW 201 into southern portions of WFO
LSX should remain sub-severe as it outpaces weak instability and
encounters poorer boundary-layer moisture.
A little more uncertain is the southeast MO/northeast AR border
vicinity where a better quality boundary layer exists along and just
south of the warm front. Convection to the west of this area has
generally shown a weakening trend late this evening in the absence
of strong forcing for ascent. However, regional VWP from LZK and
PAH 88-D continue to indicate strong effective shear and large,
curved hodographs that would tend to support organized structures.
Additionally, convective mode has been messy this evening and storms
have tended to be more outflow dominant in the deep, moisture-rich
warm sector. Nevertheless, environmental parameter space is such
that this area bears watching and a new watch may be needed across
portions of southeast MO and perhaps adjacent southwest IL.
..Leitman/Edwards.. 05/21/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...
LAT...LON 38319194 38559160 38739123 38789074 38769020 38628995
37818927 36958913 36608923 36288948 36108997 36149052 36239133
36409212 37129226 37449207 37779196 38319194
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN
OK 1214 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019
...Outbreak of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms expected over
parts of the southern Plains today and tonight...
* LOCATIONS... Much of Oklahoma Northwest Texas and the eastern
Texas Panhandle
* HAZARDS... Numerous intense and long-track tornadoes Widespread
damaging winds, some hurricane force Widespread large hail, some
baseball size
* SUMMARY... An outbreak of tornadoes, some potentially long-track
and violent, is expected today into this evening over portions of
northwest Texas into western and central Oklahoma. More isolated
but still potentially dangerous severe weather, including tornadoes
and destructive winds and hail, is possible in surrounding parts
of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas.
Preparedness actions...
Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado watch
means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form during the
next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for your area,
move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or interior room
on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.
..Marsh.. 05/20/2019
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240
AM CDT Tue May 21 2019
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS
OF MISSOURI...WESTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts and a
few tornadoes are possible from the middle Mississippi Valley south
into the Arklatex today. Additional daytime storms, capable of
producing hail, gusty winds, and a couple of tornadoes, will also
be possible into parts of the central Plains.
...Ozarks/Mid Mississippi Valley/Arklatex/East Texas... A negatively
tilted upper-level trough will move northeastward from the
southern Plains into the central Plains today. At the surface, a
low will move across Kansas as a warm front advances northeastward
into the mid Mississippi Valley. A surface trough is forecast
from the surface low extending south-south eastward into eastern
Oklahoma, along which thunderstorms will be ongoing this morning.
This line of storms will move eastward into Missouri and Arkansas
by early afternoon. As surface temperatures warm ahead of the line,
a corridor of instability will strengthen with the NAM increasing
MLCAPE values into the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range. This combined with
a north-to-south band of large-scale ascent ahead of the upper-level
trough and strong low-level shear will be favorable for squall line
development. The squall line will move eastward across Missouri and
Arkansas reaching the Mississippi River during the evening. A few
QLCS tornadoes and widespread damaging wind gusts will be likely
with the stronger parts of the squall line.
The southern portion of the squall line is forecast to be located
from the Arklatex into east Texas this afternoon. Large-scale ascent
is forecast to be considerably less this far south with much weaker
low-level flow. For this reason, the wind-damage threat should be
more isolated with southward extent.
...Central Plains... An upper-level low will move northward across
the central Plains today. At the surface, a cold front will advance
southeastward across western Kansas. Along and ahead of this front,
thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon. Warming
surface temperatures should result in destabilization along a
corridor of maximized low-level moisture extending northwestward
across southeast and central Kansas. Enhanced lift associated with
the exit region of the mid-level jet, strong deep-layer shear and
strengthening low-level shear will be sufficient for rotating storms
along the instability axis. Isolated large hail, strong gusty winds
and a tornado or two will be possible mainly in the late afternoon.
..Broyles/Wendt.. 05/21/2019
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257
AM CDT Tue May 21 2019
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER A PORTION
OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms capable of mainly large hail are
possible Wednesday night into early Thursday morning from the
central Plains into the middle Mississippi Valley and possibly the
southern High Plains. A few strong storms with gusty winds and hail
will also be possible over a portion of the Ohio Valley.
...Synopsis...
In wake of a significant shortwave trough lifting northward through
the northern Plains and upper MS Valley, an upper ridge over the
southeast U.S. will build northwestward into the Plains Wednesday.
Farther upstream an upper trough will amplify across southern CA
into the Great Basin region. Surface low attending the northern
stream shortwave trough will occlude over the northern Plains and
further weaken as it moves into the upper MS Valley. Trailing front
will extend south into eastern NE and KS then southwestward into the
southern High Plains. A warm front will extend southeast from the
low into the OH Valley and reach the southern Great Lakes Wednesday
night. Dryline will retreat through western TX during the afternoon
and evening.
...Kansas through northern Missouri...
Richer low-level moisture with low-mid 60s F dewpoints will return
through the pre-frontal warm sector, contributing to moderate
instability (2000-2500 J/kg MUCAPE) in frontal zone by early
evening. With building upper ridge and presence of a cap, surface
based storm initiation still appears unlikely. The most probable
scenario is for storms to develop during the evening within zone of
increasing isentropic ascent north of the front associated with a
strengthening low-level jet. These storms will likely be elevated,
but effective bulk shear will support potential for updraft rotation,
and the thermodynamic environment with up to 2500 J/kg MUCAPE and
7 C/km mid-level lapse rates should promote some risk for large hail.
...Southern High Plains...
Mid-upper 60s F dewpoints will advect rapidly northwestward through
the southern Plains warm sector beneath modest mid-level lapse
rates, contributing to moderate to strong instability (2000-3000
J/kg MLCAPE) during the afternoon. However, significant height rises
associated with a building upper ridge along with limited forcing
for ascent should limit thunderstorm development over this region
most of the period. The dryline will retreat westward with limited
convergence. While the parameter space will favor severe storms with
strong instability and 45-50 kt effective bulk shear, confidence
is low that storms will initiate during the afternoon. Overnight
a speed max is forecast to rotate through the base of the upper
trough and approach the southern High Plains late. Forcing for
ascent with this feature and the strengthening low-level jet might
become sufficient for thunderstorm initiation very late from eastern
NM into west TX. However, greater confidence exists that initiation
will wait until after 12Z. Given the conditional nature of the threat
in this region will maintain low severe probabilities this update.
...Ohio Valley...
Warm front will retreat northward during the day and likely extend
from the southern Great lakes into a portion of OH by mid-late
afternoon. Low-level moisture with 60s dewpoints will return through
the warm sector resulting in moderate instability, and effective
shear from 40-45 kt will remain sufficient for a few organized
storms. However, subsidence associated with building upper ridge will
result in poor mid-level lapse rates. A few storms may develop in
vicinity of the warm front during the afternoon and pose some risk
for gusty winds and hail, but overall threat should remain marginal.
...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: 2% - Marginal Wind:
5% - Marginal Hail: 15% - Slight
..Dial.. 05/21/2019
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0115 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND FAR WEST TEXAS...
...Synopsis... As one upper-level trough lifts into northern Plains,
another will move into the Great Basin today. Strong mid-level
flow will again overspread the southwest. At the surface a cyclone
will continue to deepen in the lee of the central Rockies before
moving into the Missouri Valley by the end of the period. These
two features will combine to bring dry, downslope flow across the
southern Rockies and southern High Plains. Surface wind speeds
will likely reach 20-30 mph with locally higher speeds given the
core of the mid-level jet across southern New Mexico during the
afternoon. Afternoon RH is expected to drop to 5-20%. Even with
decidedly critical meteorological conditions, most areas will only
experience elevated fire weather concerns given the relatively low
fuel loading for this time of year and continued green up in many
locations. Critical fire weather will be realized within portions
of southern New Mexico into far West Texas where fuels are more
receptive to fire spread. The only significant change from previous
outlooks was to remove small portions of the elevated where previous
day's precipitation was great enough to increase fuel moisture
above critical thresholds.
..Wendt.. 05/21/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Mi dicevano: vai in Turchia, vedrai cose che non vedrai piu'. Ci sono andato,
con la macchina fotografica. Non l'ho piu' vista.
-- Paolo Rossi, "Scatafascio"
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