| |
LW3DBH > ALERT 10.04.20 02:22z 197 Lines 9514 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 61002_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 09 04
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200410/0210Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:61002 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:61002_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : ALERT@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
WW 98 SEVERE TSTM TX 092245Z - 100400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Number 98 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 545 PM CDT Thu Apr
9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 545 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated
very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered
damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over Mexico are expected to develop eastward
into the watch area this evening, with a risk of large hail and
damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 85 miles north northwest
of Mcallen TX to 20 miles west southwest of Mcallen TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 97...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion
vector 27035.
...Hart
WW 97 SEVERE TSTM TX 091945Z - 100300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Number 97 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM CDT Thu Apr
9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South-central/Southeast
Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with
isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph
possible A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe thunderstorms will
continue to intensify within an increasingly unstable environment,
with such initial development near the I-35 corridor through
mid/late afternoon. Supercells and well-organized clusters can be
expected with large hail and damaging winds possible as storms
spread east-southeastward toward east/southeast Texas and the
coastal plain through evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Lufkin
TX to 25 miles south of Cotulla TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 96...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Guyer
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 82
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/07/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LOT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 82
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-015-031-037-043-085-089-093-097-103-111-141-177-195-197-
201-080040-
IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CARROLL COOK DE KALB
DUPAGE JO DAVIESS KANE KENDALL
LAKE LEE MCHENRY OGLE STEPHENSON
WHITESIDE WILL WINNEBAGO
INC089-127-080040-
IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PORTER
IAC045-097-080040-
IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WW 0097 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 97
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NW LRD TO
50 WNW COT TO 15 ESE HDO TO 10 WSW BAZ TO 45 E BAZ TO 45 S CLL TO
35 ESE UTS TO 40 W POE TO 15 NNE POE TO 15 N ESF.
..BENTLEY..04/10/20
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...CRP...LCH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-079-115-100140-
LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
JEFFERSON DAVIS RAPIDES VERNON
TXC013-025-029-071-123-127-131-163-175-177-187-199-239-241-245-
249-255-283-285-291-297-311-351-361-457-469-479-493-507- 100140-
TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BEE BEXAR CHAMBERS
DEWITT DIMMIT DUVAL FRIO
GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE HARDIN JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JIM WELLS KARNES
LA SALLE LAVACA LIBERTY LIVE OAK
MD 0329 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 97...98... FOR
SOUTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0329 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Thu Apr 09 2020
Areas affected...south Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 97...98...
Valid 100059Z - 100300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 97,
98 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe storms with hail and wind persist over much of Deep
South TX, and may affect parts of the coast this evening. As such,
eastward watch expansions may be needed.
DISCUSSION...Storms have increased in coverage over Deep South TX,
and have also shown signs of better organization as a line has formed
from Frio to Webb counties. Aside from damaging hail in the stronger
cores, the enhanced outflow pool suggests these storms may proceed
to the coast despite capping. 00Z soundings show a breakable cap
at CRP, with more uncertainty farther south near BRO where the cap
is stronger.
..Jewell.. 04/10/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
LAT...LON 26449919 27459974 28070007 28219978 28319935 28849928
29199914 29199815 29309683 29129640 28809623 28399617 27529715
26619730 25949706 25769725 25879782 26139864 26229892 26449919
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746
PM CDT Thu Apr 09 2020
Valid 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND IN SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS...
...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts and
hail are expected from far east Texas across central and southern
Louisiana this evening. Other severe storms will occur across the
southern and middle Texas Coastal Plains through tonight.
...Far East Texas/Central and Southern Louisiana... The latest
water vapor imagery and RAP analysis show a shortwave trough moving
through east Texas. An MCS is ongoing ahead of the trough in far east
Texas and western Louisiana. The airmass ahead of the MCS is moist
with surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F. This is contributing to
moderate to strong instability which is evident on the 00Z sounding
at Lake Charles. That sounding has 3300 J/kg of MUCAPE with a
steep lapse rate in the 850 to 700 mb layer. In addition to the
moisture and instability, the sounding also has 0-6 km shear near
50 kt. This should be favorable for severe storms this evening. As
the MCS tracks eastward across central and southern Louisiana, the
stronger cells within the MCS should be accompanied by damaging
wind gusts and hail. Have introduced a slight risk from far east
Texas eastward across much of the southern half of Louisiana to
the west edge of Lake Pontchartrain.
...Southern and Middle Texas Coastal Plains... The latest water
vapor imagery shows a plume of mid-level moisture from north-central
Mexico extending northeastward into the southern Plains. A cluster of
strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing along the southern edge of
this plume in south-central Texas. A moist airmass is located from
near the cluster eastward to the southern Texas Coast where surface
dewpoints are in the lower 70s F. This is contributing to moderate
instability with the 00Z sounding at Corpus Christi showing 3200
J/kg of MUCAPE. In addition, the sounding has a steep lapse rate
in the 850 to 500 mb layer with 0-6 km shear near 50 kt. This will
support supercells with large hail and damaging wind gusts. As the
cluster gradually moves eastward toward the southern Texas Coast
this evening, the wind damage threat should be maintained as cells
congeal, especially if an organized line segment can form.
..Broyles.. 04/10/2020
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Love IS what it's cracked up to be.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
