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LU9DCE > ALERT 03.12.19 07:03z 69 Lines 3453 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4356_LU9DCE
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Subj: Storm Prediction Center 03 12
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<DB0RES<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<N7HPX<
LU9DCE
Sent: 191203/0702Z 4356@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139
PM CST Mon Dec 02 2019
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Across the CONUS, no appreciable risk for severe
weather is expected. Isolated lightning strikes may occur along a
sliver of the central California coast, but coverage will likely
be well below 10%.
...Synopsis... The upper-level low off the coast of New England
will move northeastward into the Canadian Maritime provinces. In
its wake, another lower-amplitude impulse will progress through the
upper Midwest into the Northeast by the end of the period. Farther
west, the upper-level closed low west of the California coast will
meander southwestward before rejoining the subtropical jet stream
and moving near the shore very late in the forecast period. At the
surface, high pressure across much of the West and Plains states will
foster offshore flow along the Gulf and southeastern coastal regions.
The will be no appreciable risk for severe weather today. Along with
a distinct lack of upper-level forcing, surface conditions across
the lower 48 will be generally cool and dry. Towards the end of the
period, as an upper-level low approaches the California coast, weak
mid-level ascent and cooling may promote marginal instability. A few
isolated lightning strikes are possible with what will primarily
be showers along the central/southern California coasts. Coverage
should remain well below 10%. Lightning associated with the surface
cyclone off the coast of Maine is possible, but potential for this
activity to reach the shore is low.
..Wendt.. 12/03/2019
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1247
AM CST Tue Dec 03 2019
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Showers and occasional/embedded lightning will spread
across the southwestern U.S. on Wednesday.
...Discussion... As an upper trough crosses the eastern
U.S. Wednesday, transition to a more zonal/westerly flow pattern
will evolve in its wake. Within this westerly flow, an upper low
over the eastern Pacific is forecast to shift onshore over southern
California, and continue eastward toward the Four Corners --
weakening gradually with time.
Though cool/stable low-level air will prevail across much of the
country, showers -- and perhaps occasional/embedded lightning --
will overspread portions of the Southwest, in conjunction with the
onshore advance of the upper low/trough.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: <2% - None Wind: <5%
- None Hail: <5% - None
..Goss.. 12/03/2019
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